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Suppose X i ≧0 are i.i.d., i = 1, 2, ···. We derive a saddlepoint approximation for P{∑ N(t) k =1 X k > y} as y→∞ and t is fixed, where N ( t ), t ≧0, is either a Poisson or a Pólya process. These results are then compared and contrasted with the well-known Esscher approximation.
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Embrechts et al. (1985) studied this question.
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