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September 6, 2011European Heart Journal807 citationsOpen Access

The win ratio: a new approach to the analysis of composite endpoints in clinical trials based on clinical priorities

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SPSJ PocockCross-Cutting CardiologyCACono AritiGeneral CardiologyTCTimothy CollierPreventive Cardiology

Key Points

  • This research aims to present the win ratio as a method to improve the reporting of composite endpoints in clinical trials.
  • Introduced the win ratio for analyzing composite endpoints by forming matched pairs based on risk profiles.
  • Defined winners and losers in primary composite endpoints, focusing on clinically significant events.
  • Illustrated the win ratio through re-analyses of the EMPHASIS-HF, PARTNER B, and CHARM trials.
  • The win ratio allows for prioritization of more clinically important outcomes, such as mortality.
  • A 95% confidence interval and P-value for the win ratio calculation are straightforward to obtain.
  • Demonstrated applicability and ease of use compared to traditional methods in trials analyzed.

Abstract

The conventional reporting of composite endpoints in clinical trials has an inherent limitation in that it emphasizes each patient's first event, which is often the outcome of lesser clinical importance. To overcome this problem, we introduce the concept of the win ratio for reporting composite endpoints. Patients in the new treatment and control groups are formed into matched pairs based on their risk profiles. Consider a primary composite endpoint, e.g. cardiovascular (CV) death and heart failure hospitalization (HF hosp) in heart failure trials. For each matched pair, the new treatment patient is labelled a 'winner' or a 'loser' depending on who had a CV death first. If that is not known, only then they are labelled a 'winner' or 'loser' depending on who had a HF hosp first. Otherwise they are considered tied. The win ratio is the total number of winners divided by the total numbers of losers. A 95% confidence interval and P-value for the win ratio are readily obtained. If formation of matched pairs is impractical then an alternative win ratio can be obtained by comparing all possible unmatched pairs. This method is illustrated by re-analyses of the EMPHASIS-HF, PARTNER B, and CHARM trials. The win ratio is a new method for reporting composite endpoints, which is easy to use and gives appropriate priority to the more clinically important event, e.g. mortality. We encourage its use in future trial reports.

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Cite This Study

Pocock et al. (2011) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d9b77f5e5bcb4e3b837babhttps://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehr352
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