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April 11, 2026Advanced Theory and Simulations1 citations

Data‐Driven Deep Learning Framework for Ebola Transmission Dynamics Incorporating Deceased and Hospitalized Individuals With Real Data

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YWYuzhen WangXi'an Technological UniversityJZJ. ZhangXi'an Technological UniversityMFMuhammad FarhanInternational Islamic University, Islamabad

Key Points

  • The research aims to develop a nonlinear model for Ebola transmission utilizing data from hospitalized and deceased individuals.
  • Developed a nonlinear Ebola transmission model incorporating detailed data.
  • Employed a deep neural network (DNN) for numerical solutions and model calibration.
  • Used the fourth-order Runge-Kutta scheme as a benchmark for generating training data.
  • Estimated model parameters with least-squares optimization.
  • Validated numerical results through convergence analysis and regression-based performance metrics.
  • Achieved solutions that align precisely with benchmark data.
  • Recorded a least absolute error in model predictions, indicating high accuracy.
  • Demonstrated the effectiveness of DNN architecture with three hidden layers and distinct activation functions.

Abstract

ABSTRACT In this study, a nonlinear model for Ebola disease is developed incorporating transmission from both hospitalized and deceased individuals. A comprehensive mathematical analysis of the model is conducted. For a numerical solution, we design a robust neuro‐computing framework based on a deep neural network (DNN) approach. The standard fourth‐order Runge‐Kutta scheme is employed as a benchmark to generate high‐fidelity training data for DNN. The model is calibrated using weekly reported case data from Sierra Leone, one of the most severely affected countries during the 2015‐2016 Ebola outbreaks. Model parameters are estimated using least‐squares optimization via the leastₛquares function in the scipy. optimize module. Numerical results are validated through convergence analysis, error distribution, and regression‐based performance metrics under five cases using different sets of control parameters. The proposed methodology yields solutions that align precisely with benchmark data achieving a least absolute error of. The DNN architecture consists of three hidden layers with 10, 100, and 10 neurons each with the implementation of Tanh and ReLU activation functions. We believe that the integration of DNN with these activation functions in its hidden layers to study Ebola is a novel attempt at infectious disease modeling offering a powerful framework for epidemic prediction and control.

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Cite This Study

Wang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69d9e64e78050d08c1b76a23https://doi.org/10.1002/adts.70388
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