The effect of gravitational radiation reaction on circular orbits around a spinning (Kerr) black hole is computed to leading order in S (the magnitude of the spin angular momentum of the hole) and in the strength of gravity M/r (where M is the mass of the black hole, r is the orbital radius, and G=c=1). The radiation reaction makes the orbit shrink but leaves it circular and drives the orbital plane very slowly toward antialignment with the spin of the hole: tan({ι}/2)=tan(ι₀/2)[1+(61/72)(S/M²)(M/r)3/2], where {ι} is the angle between the normal to the orbital plane and the spin direction, and ι₀ is the initial value of {ι}, when r is very large.
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Fintan D. Ryan (1995) studied this question.
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