Does a combination of plasma biomarkers (Aβ42/40, P-tau217, NfL) predict cognitive decline and AD dementia in cognitively unimpaired elderly individuals?
A combination of plasma ATN biomarkers can predict cognitive decline and AD dementia in cognitively unimpaired elderly individuals, potentially reducing required sample sizes for clinical trials by up to 70%.
Plasma biomarkers of amyloid, tau, and neurodegeneration (ATN) need to be characterized in cognitively unimpaired (CU) elderly individuals. We therefore tested if plasma measurements of amyloid-β (Aβ)42/40, phospho-tau217 (P-tau217), and neurofilament light (NfL) together predict clinical deterioration in 435 CU individuals followed for an average of 4.8 ± 1.7 years in the BioFINDER study. A combination of all three plasma biomarkers and basic demographics best predicted change in cognition (Pre-Alzheimer's Clinical Composite; R2 = 0.14, 95% CI 0.12-0.17; P < 0.0001) and subsequent AD dementia (AUC = 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.91, P < 0.0001). In a simulated clinical trial, a screening algorithm combining all three plasma biomarkers would reduce the required sample size by 70% (95% CI 54-81; P < 0.001) with cognition as trial endpoint, and by 63% (95% CI 53-70, P < 0.001) with subsequent AD dementia as trial endpoint. Plasma ATN biomarkers show usefulness in cognitively unimpaired populations and could make large clinical trials more feasible and cost-effective.
Cullen et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
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