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To identify factors for predicting residual or recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) after cervical conization with negative margins. A total of 172 patients with histologically verified high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions who underwent conization with negative margins were recruited at the General Hospital of Tianjin Medical University from December 2006 to January 2016. Follow-up comprised clinical examination, a liquid-based cytology test, a human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA genotyping test, colposcopy assessment, and if indicated, colposcopy-directed punch biopsy. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the median recurrent time, whereas log-rank tests and Cox regression models were used to determine the predictors of residual/recurrent CIN. Fourteen residual/recurrent cases (8.1%) were identified in 172 patients. In univariate analysis, cytologic abnormalities on follow-up (P = .000), conization method (P = .017), HPV positivity at any visit (P = .000), persistent HPV infection postconization (P = .000), persistent infection with the same HPV genotype (P = .000), and HPV positivity at 18 months after conization (P = .000) were predictive factors of residual/recurrent CIN. The results of multivariate analysis further revealed that persistent HPV infection postconization (P = .035), HPV positivity at 18 months after conization (P = .017), and cytologic abnormalities on follow-up (P = .000) had an increased risk of residual/recurrent CIN. During follow-up, patients with persistent HPV infection or cytologic abnormalities were at high risk of residual/recurrent CIN and should be identified for close surveillance and monitoring. Meanwhile, patients with HPV who became negative within 18 months after treatment had a low risk of recurrence.
Fan et al. (2018) studied this question.