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April 13, 2026Communications Earth & Environment1 citationsOpen Access

Antarctic sea-ice loss shifts the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase

HJHyein JeongHPHyo‐Seok ParkSYSang-Wook Yeh

Key Points

  • The research aims to understand how Antarctic sea-ice loss affects the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and its climate implications.
  • Utilized numerical climate model experiments to simulate conditions
  • Analyzed interhemispheric thermal gradients and jet stream shifts
  • Investigated sea-surface temperature patterns in the Pacific
  • Antarctic sea-ice loss triggers a positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
  • Identified cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the eastern Pacific
  • The mechanism involves a strengthened thermal gradient affecting the Asian jet direction

Abstract

Antarctic sea-ice loss can influence climate far beyond the Southern Hemisphere, but its remote impacts and underlying mechanisms remain uncertain. Here we use numerical climate model experiments to show that reduced Antarctic sea ice triggers a response resembling the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This pattern is characterized by sea-surface temperature cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the eastern and subpolar Pacific. This transient adjustment unfolds over approximately 20 years. Mechanistically, the response is initiated by a strengthened interhemispheric thermal gradient that drives a southward shift of the Asian jet. Idealized experiments confirm that this jet shift generates low sea-level pressure anomalies over the western North Pacific, which intensify cold oceanic advection and reduce downward shortwave radiation. These findings imply that Antarctic sea-ice decline can act as a cross-hemispheric driver, potentially shifting the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase. Reduced Antarctic sea-ice favors a positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation-like pattern in the North Pacific remotely by driving a southward shift of the Asian jet and generating low pressure anomalies over the western Pacific, revealed by climate model experiments.

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Cite This Study

Jeong et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69dc88b93afacbeac03ea820https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03489-w
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