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Bayesian inference reveals orbital parameters of multiplanet systems, suggesting improved detection methods for exoplanets.
Many exoplanetary systems are multiplanet configurations whose long-term dynamics are governed by N-body gravitational interactions. Consequently, their detection signatures cannot be adequately described by Keplerian orbits. Accurately interpreting the observational data of these systems---including radial velocity (RV), astrometry, and transit timing variations (TTVs)---requires N-body integration. Motivated by this need, we developed a Bayesian fitting framework that couples N-body integration with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to retrieve the system parameters of multiplanet systems. The code, named Nii-body, integrates an adaptive Runge--Kutta--Fehlberg 7(8) (RKF78) solver with an automated parallel tempering MCMC algorithm. Using simplified synthetic astrometric observations, we evaluated the efficiency and robustness of Nii-body's N-body orbit retrieval on an idealized two-planet model, demonstrating its potential for future application to real observational data. The N-body fitting workflow can be readily extended to RV, TTVs, or combined datasets, providing a versatile engine for high-precision orbital inference in multiplanet systems.
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Jia et al. (2026) studied this question.
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