PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
April 16, 2026Geophysical Research Letters2 citationsOpen Access

Short‐Term Forecasting of Cloud Physical Properties Based on Fourier Neural Operator Method

View Full Paper
FZFeng ZhangXHXin HongZZZhijun Zhao

Key Points

  • This research aims to improve short-term forecasting of cloud physical properties using the Fourier neural operator method.
  • Developed a forecasting model called Cloud-FNO using Fourier neural operator.
  • Implemented a multi-task learning framework and autoregression strategy.
  • Conducted evaluations on an independent testing data set to measure forecasting accuracy.
  • Achieved over 74% accuracy in cloud phase identification.
  • Forecast errors for cloud top height average 2.28 km.
  • Cloud effective radius forecasts have an average error of 6.52 μm.
  • Cloud optical thickness forecasts show an average error of 9.01.

Abstract

Abstract Accurately understanding the evolution and development of cloud physical properties (CPP) in advance is crucial for extreme weather forecasting and early warning. This study utilized the Fourier neural operator (FNO) method to develop a short‐term forecasting model of Cloud (Cloud‐FNO). Using the multi‐task learning framework and autoregression strategy, the model achieves accurate 6‐hr forecasting of cloud phase (CLP), cloud top height (CTH), cloud effective radius (CER), and cloud optical thickness (COT). Evaluation results on the independent testing data set show that the Cloud‐FNO model achieves an average CLP identification accuracy exceeding 74%, and the average root mean square errors for CTH, CER, and COT forecasts are 2.28 km, 6.52 μm, and 9.01, respectively. Importantly, the Cloud‐FNO model demonstrates strong forecasting capability and promising application potential for the CPP evolution under severe weather.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Zhang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e07d732f7e8953b7cbe6c1https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119553
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper