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April 17, 2026Applied SciencesOpen Access

Explainable Smart-Building Energy Consumption Forecasting and Anomaly Diagnosis Framework Based on Multi-Head Transformer and Dual-Stream Detection

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Authors

YCYuanyu CaiDLDan LiaoBLBin Liu

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Overview

Integrated framework demonstrates accurate load forecasting and anomaly detection in smart buildings, suggesting a data-driven monitoring solution.

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop an integrated framework for energy load forecasting and reliable anomaly diagnosis in smart buildings.
  • Developed a Transformer-based sequence-to-sequence model for hourly energy demand forecasting.
  • Implemented a dual-scale strategy for anomaly diagnosis, focusing on both short-term and long-term anomalies.
  • Utilized adaptive thresholds to detect short-term anomalies from forecasting residuals.
  • Compared current residual patterns with historical baselines for long-term anomaly detection.
  • Provided SHAP-based explanations for interpreting predictions and detected anomalies.
  • Achieved a mean absolute percentage error of approximately 3% in forecasting performance.
  • Demonstrated superior performance against conventional baselines and recent Transformer-based models.
  • Effectively distinguished various types of anomalies: point, pattern, and composite.

Cite This Study

Cai et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e1d0165cdc762e9d8591efhttps://doi.org/10.3390/app16083836
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