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April 18, 2026Geophysical Research Letters2 citationsOpen Access

Airborne Radar Reveals Area‐Wide Decadal Increase of Surface Mass Balance on the Plateau in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica

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AZAlexandra ZuhrSFSteven FrankeOEOlaf Eisen

Key Points

  • To investigate changes in surface mass balance on the East Antarctic Plateau and its implications for sea-level contribution.
  • Used approximately 3,000 km of airborne radar data from Dronning Maud Land.
  • Reconstructed surface mass balance over the last 800 years, specifically from 1209 to 2024.
  • Integrated radar and firn core data to minimize bias due to topography and wind.
  • Identified stable surface mass balance averages before 1977.
  • Detected a 21% increase in surface mass balance in recent decades.
  • Found that the increase in surface mass balance is consistent despite local variability.

Abstract

Abstract Projections of Antarctica's sea‐level contribution depend on future changes in surface mass balance (SMB), yet it remains uncertain whether climate change has already impacted SMB on the East Antarctic Plateau, given diverging trends in prior studies. Using ∼3,000 km of airborne radar data from western Dronning Maud Land (DML), we reconstructed SMB over the past ∼800 years (1209–2024 C.E.) and found stable centennial averages before 1977, followed by a 21% increase in recent decades. This increase is spatially coherent despite strong small‐scale variability driven by topography and wind redistribution, which can bias upscaling of firn core records. Integrating radar and firn core data at ∼5 5 km 2 scales reduces this bias. Our results show an increase in SMB in western DML over the last five decades. If sustained, it could help mitigate sea‐level rise.

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Cite This Study

Zuhr et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e3209340886becb653fb2ehttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl118985
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