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April 19, 2026Crime & Delinquency0 citations

The Delinquent Face of Uncertainty: LGBTQ-Targeted Crimes Amidst Global Pandemics

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JZJin ZhangJLJinyang LiSBShaukat Hussain Bhatti

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore how pandemic uncertainty affects the rate of LGBTQ-targeted crimes in various countries.
  • Quantile-on-Quantile analysis to assess crime rates
  • Examination of data from ten countries
  • Focus on country-specific crime patterns and uncertainty
  • A strong positive association exists between pandemic uncertainty and LGBTQ-targeted crimes in most countries
  • Asymmetry is noted in how uncertainty impacts crime intensity
  • Cross-country variations demonstrate the need for tailored policy responses

Abstract

Lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or queer (LGBTQ) individuals remain disproportionately vulnerable to stigma, discrimination, and violence, especially during societal crises. This study investigates the asymmetric impact of pandemic uncertainty on LGBTQ-targeted crimes across ten countries: USA, UK, Canada, Germany, France, Australia, Spain, New Zealand, Sweden, and Italy. Using the Quantile-on-Quantile method, the study explores country-specific patterns and finds a strong positive association between pandemic-induced uncertainty and LGBTQ-targeted crimes in most selected countries, but the findings are asymmetric because the strength, and in some cases the direction, of the relationship shifts across uncertainty and crime intensity levels. Cross-country differences in asymmetry underscore the need for nuanced, context-specific policies targeting high-risk periods when uncertainty shocks drive the sharpest increases in victimization.

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Cite This Study

Zhang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e473de010ef96374d8fa41https://doi.org/10.1177/00111287261434477
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