Forecasting in technical facility control systems

The paper presents a methodology for designing forecasting systems for control systems for technical facilities. The topicality of the selected topic is justified by the specific requirements for forecasting systems, intended for use in control systems of technical facilities. The methodology proposes to design a forecasting system appropriate to the described stages with the use of a number of parameters characterising the forecasting process. The work analyses the peculiarities of the forecasting method, which are determined by a series of characteristics. An example of such a characteristic is the commensurability of the interacting parameters in the process of interaction of the parameters characterising the process of negative influence on the control process and the parameters counteracting this influence. An example of a parameter characterised by an increase in the accuracy of forecasting is the parameter of increasing the determinism measure, which is secured by separate, additional components in the forecasting system. An example of additional components may be the implementation component of the process of counteracting the negative impact, the component supporting the adoption of decisions in relation to the implementation of counteracting the negative impact of accidental events on the controlled object. The use of the developed design methodology allowed the accuracy of the forecasted data to be increased, which leads to an increase in the efficiency of using the forecasting system.