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April 22, 2026Coatings0 citationsOpen Access

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Micromechanical Properties of GAP-BPS Binders Using Molecular Simulation Data

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HZHaitao ZhengWZWei ZhouPCPeng Cao

Key Points

  • The aim is to predict the micromechanical properties of GAP-BPS binders using machine learning and molecular simulation data.
  • Developed 273 molecular models of GAP-BPS binders under varying conditions
  • Conducted molecular dynamics simulations to obtain mechanical properties
  • Trained and evaluated three machine learning models on the dataset.
  • TabPFN model achieved average R2 values of 0.9684 for bulk modulus and 0.8827 for shear modulus.
  • TabPFN significantly outperformed the RF model in bulk modulus prediction.
  • In tasks with smaller datasets, TabPFN consistently showed superior prediction capabilities.

Abstract

The crosslinked binders formed by using glycidyl azide polymer (GAP) as the binder matrix and bis-propargyl succinate (BPS) as the curing agent have good application prospects in the field of solid propellants. Aiming at the shortcomings of traditional experimental research, such as high cost, and molecular dynamics (MD) simulation, which are time-consuming for complex combination problems, this study will realize accurate prediction of the mechanical properties of binders through machine learning (ML) based on the molecular simulation dataset. Firstly, 273 sets of GAP-BPS binder models under different conditions were formed based on 21 crosslinking degrees and 13 temperatures, and MD simulation and mechanical property simulation were carried out. Then, the initial conditions of molecular simulation (crosslinking degree, temperature) and structural parameters (free volume) were taken as features, and the bulk modulus and shear modulus were taken as labels to form the dataset. Three machine learning models were trained and evaluated based on this dataset to test their prediction performance. Based on the cross-validation results, the Tabular Prior Data Fitting Network (TabPFN) exhibits the highest average prediction values (the average R2 for bulk modulus and shear modulus were 0.9684 and 0.8827, respectively). But the significance analysis reveals that TabPFN significantly outperforms the RF model only in predicting bulk modulus. In subsequent prediction tasks with smaller datasets, TabPFN achieves superior average prediction values compared with RF and XGBoost.

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Cite This Study

Zheng et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e866c96e0dea528ddeb276https://doi.org/10.3390/coatings16040495
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