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This research aims to explore how China's economic policy uncertainty influences trade flows between China and Sub-Saharan Africa.

China’s economic policy uncertainty and trade flows between China and her six largest trading partners in Sub-Saharan Africa: an asymmetric analysis

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Analysis shows asymmetric effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on trade with six African economies, suggesting important trade insights.

This research aims to explore how China's economic policy uncertainty influences trade flows between China and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Utilized a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag framework for analysis.
Focused on trade dynamics with six selected Sub-Saharan African economies from 2000Q1 to 2022Q4.
Examined both long-term and short-term impacts on trade and imports.
In the long run, changes in economic policy uncertainty enhance trade with Kenya, Ghana, and Tanzania.
Only Ghana experiences significant import gains despite rising CEPU.
Short-term effects show a general boost in trade flows, with only rising CEPU significantly affecting imports in Ghana.

Arazu et al. (2026) studied this question.

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Analysis shows asymmetric effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on trade with six African economies, suggesting important trade insights.