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April 27, 2026Population and EconomicsOpen Access

From the Soviet Union to Modern Russia: How Alcohol Shaped National Mortality Trends Over Half a Century

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Authors

ANA.V. NemtsovTFTimur A. Fattakhov

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Overview

Comprehensive analysis reveals synchronized fluctuations in alcohol and overall mortality in Russia, indicating substantial health implications.

Key Points

  • To analyze alcohol-related and overall mortality trends in Russia from 1965 to 2020 and identify key stages of change.
  • Utilized Rosstat data to calculate standardized mortality rates for alcohol poisoning and all causes from 1965–2020.
  • Conducted correlation and regression analyses to assess relationships between overall and alcohol-related mortality.
  • Compared mortality dynamics across three significant periods: 1965–1988, 1988–1998, and 1998–2019.
  • Overall mortality increased by 47% and alcohol poisoning mortality increased by 361% from 1965 to 1994.
  • Notable peaks in mortality occurred in 1980, 1994, and 2003, with a historical maximum in 1994.
  • Significant synchronicity observed (R = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.73–0.91) between alcohol-related and overall mortality rates.

Cite This Study

Nemtsov et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69eefc23fede9185760d351bhttps://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.10.e151999
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