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This framework demonstrates a unified mechanism for multi-factor inference and sequential state evolution, suggesting new avenues for analysis.
We present a framework that subsumes two previously distinct inferential structures: the multi-factor Digital Exhaust framework (Rao, 2026, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19748680), in which a hidden center state is inferred at a single time slice from N peripheral factors, and the Collapse Chain (Rao, 2026, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19456756), in which a single observation drives sequential evolution of the state distribution across T time steps. We show that both are corner cases of a single spacetime conversion mechanism that indexes factors along both the factor axis (cardinality N_t, possibly varying with t) and the time axis (length T). The mechanism produces a likelihood tensor L of shape N_max × K × T, whose update rule π_t ∝ A πₜ₋₁ ⊙ ∏ᵢ₌₁N_t Li,·,t reduces to multi-factor inference when T=1 and A=I, and to the collapse-chain update when N_t=1 for all t. The framework is not a hybrid of the two parents; rather, the two parents are degenerate slices of a single object that varies along both axes. The principal contribution is the spacetime conversion mechanism, which extends the single-slice mechanism into the temporal direction without recourse to operator-algebraic machinery. Three covariance properties follow---time-translation, factor-permutation, and joint spacetime---establishing that the framework is structural rather than parameterisation-specific. Key contributions:- Formal definition of the spacetime conversion mechanism (ι, λ) as the principal novelty- Spacetime likelihood tensor L and a single-equation update rule- Two-way degeneration theorem: parents recovered as corner cases at T=1 and N_t=1 respectively- Three covariance properties (time-translation, factor-permutation, joint spacetime)- Worked numerical example with K=2, T=4, varying N_t demonstrating the joint regime native to neither parent The paper is foundational: it establishes the mathematical structure on which subsequent work in domains, methodologies, and operational settings can build. The framework operates under three deliberate restrictions (time-homogeneous transition, no control, no branching), each identified as a separate research direction.
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Huiying Rao (2026) studied this question.
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