PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
April 29, 2026Water0 citationsOpen Access

Coal Mine Roof Water Inrush Prediction Based on Machine Learning Research

View Full Paper
JCJ ChenHohai UniversityLLLu LiShandong University of Science and Technology谭谭文峰Northwest University

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop an intelligent approach to predict roof water inrush effectively.
  • Developed a multidimensional dataset using microseismic data, borehole water levels, electrical measurements, and daily water inflow.
  • Applied VMD-LSTM algorithm to predict roof rupture height and regression analysis for other indicators.
  • Compared the performance of VMD-LSTM with traditional LSTM models.
  • VMD-LSTM reduces MAE by 15.38%, RMSE by 20.00%, and MAPE by 17.39%.
  • Improvement in central tendency prediction errors ranged from 0.63% to 5.73%.
  • Demonstrates high accuracy in predicting water inrush precursors.

Abstract

This study develops an intelligent multi-indicator collaborative approach to improve coal seam roof water inrush warnings. A multidimensional dataset is constructed using microseismic data, borehole water levels, electrical measurements, and daily water inflow. A VMD-LSTM algorithm is proposed to predict roof rupture height, while regression analysis handles remaining indicators. Results show that during water-conducting channel development, microseismic activity, electrical data, and water inflow increase synchronously, whereas borehole water levels decline significantly—trends that reverse post-development. Compared to traditional LSTM, the VMD-LSTM model reduces MAE by 15.38%, RMSE by 20.00%, MAPE by 17.39%, HH by 9.52%, GPI by 10.76%, and improves NSE by 6.90%, demonstrating high accuracy. The central tendency prediction errors for the remaining indicators range from 0.63% to 5.73%. This integration of intelligent algorithms and multi-indicator analysis enables precise prediction of water inrush precursors, offering a new technical framework for roof water hazard prevention.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Chen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f154e0879cb923c4945151https://doi.org/10.3390/w18091036
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper