A Spectral Reflectance Model of Smooth Dry Soil Surfaces for Varied Soil Properties Based on Intelligent Learning

Dry soil spectral reflectance provides a stable baseline for characterizing soil optical properties and supporting the retrieval of soil attributes from remote sensing. However, despite the large number of studies on soil spectral reflectance, most existing research primarily focuses on empirical relationships between spectra and soil properties. The representation and prediction of dry soil reflectance as a baseline condition, particularly under the influence of environmental factors, remain insufficiently explored, and the generalizability of existing models still needs improvement. Therefore, this study collects 700 dry soil samples with laboratory-measured spectral reflectance from Northeast China and quantitatively analyzes the contribution of environmental covariates (soil properties, parent material, and geographical location) using the SHAP method. Then, an environmental and edaphic-factor-driven smooth dry soil reflectance model (EEDSR) model covering 400–2500 nm is developed based on gradient boosting regression (GBR), and its accuracy is evaluated using global ISRIC soil datasets. Our results indicate the following: (1) the reflectance of dry soil is closely related to the soil properties in the VIS to SWIR range. The reflectance of dry soil of 400–2500 nm is positively correlated with clay percentage, longitude, and parent material but negatively correlated with latitude, sand percentage and silt percentage. And its correlation with other variables (such as soil organic matter, pH, and EC) varies with wavelength. (2) The EEDSR model exhibited high predictive accuracy across the 400–2500 nm spectral range (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 0.018). Additionally, incorporating parent material (PM) and geographical factors into the predictor set enhanced the accuracy of dry soil reflectance prediction by 13.4%. (3) The spatial consistency between the predicted soil reflectance in Northeast China and the satellite observations indicates that the EEDSR model has good performance in predicting soil reflectance, as the bias of reflectance gradually increasing from west to east is consistent with the precipitation distribution in Northeast China. (4) The generalization ability of the EEDSR model was confirmed by global ISRIC datasets (R = 0.94), outperforming the deep learning-based Soil Optical Generative Model (SOGM) (R = 0.27). Overall, this study presents an efficient and interpretable framework for modeling dry soil spectral reflectance, providing a robust reference for soil reflectance prediction and remote sensing-based soil property retrieval.