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May 6, 2026Circulation0 citations

Abstract WE415: Endothelial Dysfunction and Risk of Severe COVID-19 in a Biracial U.S. Cohort

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VSVeronica SheaUniversity of VermontASAndrew SparksUniversity of VermontNONels OlsonUniversity of Vermont

Key Points

  • To investigate the link between pre-pandemic endothelial dysfunction and severe COVID-19 in a biracial cohort.
  • Used a case-only design with Black and White participants from the REGARDS study.
  • Measured endothelial biomarkers from serum collected prior to the pandemic.
  • Employed logistic regression to assess odds ratios for severe COVID-19.
  • Each SD increase in ICAM-1 and log VCAM-1 was associated with a 30% increase in odds of severe COVID-19.
  • Associations of biomarkers were consistent across racial groups.

Abstract

Background: As of mid-2025, over 100 million people have had COVID-19 and in the United States, 1.2 million have died. Black Americans continue to experience higher rates of severe COVID-19 (requiring hospitalization or causing death) than White Americans. Biological mechanisms underlying severe COVID-19 remain unclear, although evidence suggests endothelial dysfunction contributes to disease severity. Aims: We studied associations of pre-pandemic endothelial biomarkers with severe COVID-19 and evaluated differences in associations between Black and White Americans. Methods: We employed a case only design among Black and White participants of the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study who had COVID-19 between 2020 and 2021. Endothelial biomarkers (E-selectin, P-selectin, factor VIII, ICAM-1, and VCAM-1) were measured from stored serum collected in 2013-2016. The outcome was severe COVID-19 defined as hospitalization or death (adjudication rate 96.2%). Non-severe COVID-19 (the reference group) was defined as self-reported symptomatic COVID-19, positive SARS-CoV2 testing, and no hospitalization or death. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios of severe COVID-19 by SD higher of each biomarker. Restricted cubic splines were used to visualize odds ratios of severe COVID-19. Results: Among the 415 participants with COVID-19, 47% were male, 33% were Black, and the mean (SD) age was 60 (7) years. Each SD higher ICAM-1 and log VCAM-1, but not other biomarkers, was associated with 30% higher odds of severe COVID-19 ( Table ). Associations were similar across racial groups ( Table ). Restricted cubic splines showed that the association of VCAM-1 and severe COVID-19 was non-linear whereas the association of ICAM-1 and severe COVID-19 was linear ( Figure ). Conclusions: Pre-pandemic endothelial dysfunction, reflected by higher ICAM-1 and VCAM-1, was associated with higher odds of severe COVID-19. These findings suggest that longstanding endothelial dysfunction predisposes to more severe COVID-19, and highlights ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 as potential therapeutic targets. Replication in larger studies is needed to confirm these results.

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Shea et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69fa983604f884e66b53210chttps://doi.org/10.1161/cir.153.suppl_1.we415
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