Tropical Cyclone Eline and Its Unusual Penetration and Impacts over the Southern African Mainland

saw devastating floods in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and South Africa. Due to the huge damage and loss of life, global media attention was extensive. Less well known is that one of the weather systems that contributed to these floods (ex-Tropical Cyclone Eline) tracked almost 2000 km across southern Africa toward the cool southeast Atlantic and led to substantial rainfall over arid to semiarid southern Namibia (over two standard deviations above average for these two months and the wettest summer since 1976). Less than 5% of southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclones actually make landfall on the east coast of southern Africa and even fewer significantly penetrate into the interior, because of the relatively dry 1-1.5-km-high interior plateau that covers most of the region. It is argued that the precursor synoptic conditions together with largescale circulation and SST anomalies over the Indian Ocean associated with a strengthening La Nin a were highly favorable for this unusual evolution and track of Eline.