Boreal forests store 30% of the world's terrestrial carbon (C). Consequently, climate change mediated alterations in the boreal forest fire regime can have a significant impact on the global C budget. Here we synthesize the effects of forest fires on the stocks and recovery rates of C in boreal forests using 368 plots from 16 long‐term (≥100 year) fire chronosequences distributed throughout the boreal zone. Forest fires led to a decrease in total C stocks (excluding mineral soil) by an average of 60% (range from <10% to >80%), which was primarily a result of C stock declines in the living trees and soil organic layer. Total C stocks increased with time since fire largely following a sigmoidal shape Gompertz function, with an average asymptote of 8.1 kg C m −2 . Total C stocks accumulated at a rate of 2–60 g m −2 yr −1 during the first 100 years. Potential evapotranspiration (PET) was identified as a significant driver of C stocks and their post‐fire recovery, likely because it integrates temperature, radiation, and the length of the growing season. If the fire return interval shortens to ≤100 years in the future, our findings indicate that many boreal forests will be prevented from reaching their full C storage potential. However, our results also suggest that climate warming‐induced increases in PET may speed up the post‐fire recovery of C stocks.
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Palviainen et al. (2020) studied this question.
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