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This research evaluates COP31's role in overcoming gridlock in climate diplomacy and addressing climate finance.

May 10, 2026Climate and Energy0 citations

Can COP31 Be the Turning Point in Global Climate Diplomacy? Dual Presidency and Resolving Consensus Gridlock

SASavaş AlpayTOBB University of Economics and Technology DSDavid W. South

Key Points

This research evaluates COP31's role in overcoming gridlock in climate diplomacy and addressing climate finance.
Analysis of outcomes from COP31 discussions
Evaluation of the Global Stocktake findings
Review of Climate Finance commitments in relation to 1.5°C threshold
Current climate commitments are inadequate to meet the 1.5°C goal, indicating urgency for new agreements.
Delay in consensus building could lead to worse climate impacts.
COP31 critical for redefining global climate commitments through strengthened finance mechanisms.

Abstract

The 31st Conference of the Parties (COP31) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) arrives at a defining moment in human history. Following the findings of the first Global Stocktake (GST) and the establishment of the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) on climate finance, the global community faces a stark reality: current commitments are insufficient to limit global warming to the critical 1.5°C threshold.

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