Low-Carbon Transition Pathways for Resource-Rich Cities: An Analysis Based on the LEAP Model

Zijian Cai; Beibei Shi

doi:10.3724/j.issn.2097-4981.jecc-2026-0008

April 1, 2026Journal of Energy and Climate ChangeOpen Access

Low-Carbon Transition Pathways for Resource-Rich Cities: An Analysis Based on the LEAP Model

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Key Points

This analysis aims to explore the low-carbon transition of resource-rich cities in China, focusing on its impacts on CO2 emissions and economic costs.
Utilized the LEAP model to assess energy structure and intensity in Yulin City, China.
Evaluated changes in factors like economic activity and urbanization on CO2 emissions.
Examined willingness of businesses to adopt carbon capture technologies.
Yulin's energy demand and CO2 emissions are projected to continue rising, primarily from industrial and electricity sectors contributing over 80%.
Economic costs for the low-carbon transition will increase but significantly drop post-2040 with coal unit phase-outs.
Business willingness to adopt CCUS is low due to lack of technical understanding and high implementation costs.

Implication

Analyzes CO2 emissions impact in resource-rich cities, suggesting pathways for effective low-carbon transition.

Abstract

资源型城市的转型压力日益凸显，其低碳转型进程直接关系中国“双碳”战略的全局推进。本文利用长期能源替代规划系统(Low Emission Analysis Platform, LEAP)模型，以中国资源富集区榆林市为对象，分析评估了能源结构、能源强度、经济活动、产业构成及城镇化等因素变化对CO2排放的影响，并考察不同路径下的经济效益及企业采用碳捕集、利用与封存(Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage, CCUS)

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Cite This Study

Cai et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0171ce3a9f334c28271d8f https://doi.org/10.3724/j.issn.2097-4981.jecc-2026-0008

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Low-Carbon Transition Pathways for Resource-Rich Cities: An Analysis Based on the LEAP Model

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

Low-Carbon Transition Pathways for Resource-Rich Cities: An Analysis Based on the LEAP Model

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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