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April 30, 2026JACC. Clinical electrophysiology

Competing Risk of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmia and Nonarrhythmic Mortality in Advanced Heart Failure

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Why the study?

Patients with heart failure and reduced LVEF face competing risks of VT/VF, pump failure, and noncardiac death, prompting evaluation of the LVEF-VT/VF relationship accounting for nonarrhythmic mortality.

Does very low LVEF (≤20%) increase the risk of sustained VT/VF and ICD shocks compared to higher LVEF (>20%) in primary prevention ICD recipients with heart failure?

Population

5,168 primary prevention ICD recipients from 5 major trials

Comparison

LVEF tertiles (≤20% vs 21%-29% vs 30%-35%)

Design

Pooled cohort analysis of 5 trials

Follow-up

3 years

Key result

Primary prevention ICD recipients with LVEF ≤20% had a 23% higher cumulative incidence of sustained VT/VF compared with those with LVEF >20% (P=0.004).

Authors

ABAlon BarsheshetIGIlan GoldenbergSGShaul Gelikas

Discussion

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Overview

LVEF ≤20% identifies higher arrhythmic risk in primary prevention ICD recipients; leaves open whether thresholds should refine selection or programming.

Key Points

  • This research aims to assess how left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) affects the risk of ventricular tachyarrhythmias and nonarrhythmic mortality.
  • Analyzed data from 5 major trials involving primary prevention ICD recipients.
  • Stratified patients by LVEF tertiles (≤20%, 21%-29%, 30%-35%).
  • Utilized Fine and Gray models to adjust for nonarrhythmic mortality risks.
  • Cumulative incidence of sustained VT/VF was inversely correlated with increasing LVEF: 28% for LVEF ≤20%, 23% for 21%-29%, and 20% for 30%-35% (P < 0.001).
  • LVEF ≤20% associated with a 23% higher incidence of sustained VT/VF (P = 0.004), 33% for fast VT/VF (P = 0.001), and 31% for ICD shocks (P = 0.003).
  • LVEF ≤20% also indicated a 1.5-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (P < 0.001).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=5,168)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does very low LVEF (≤20%) increase the risk of sustained VT/VF and ICD shocks compared to higher LVEF (>20%) in primary prevention ICD recipients with heart failure?

P
Population
5,168 primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recipients with heart failure and reduced LVEF pooled from 5 major trials (MADIT-II, MADIT-CRT, MADIT-RIT, MADIT-RISK, RAID)
I
Intervention
Very low LVEF (≤20%)
C
Comparator
Higher LVEF (>20%, specifically 21%-29% and 30%-35%)
O
Outcome
Sustained ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation (VT/VF)hard clinical

Main Result

Effect estimate: 23% higher cumulative incidence

p-value: p=0.004

In patients with advanced heart failure, very low LVEF (≤20%) is associated with a significantly higher incidence of sustained VT/VF and appropriate ICD shocks, despite a higher competing risk of nonarrhythmic mortality.

Cite This Study

Barsheshet et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (n=5,168). LVEF ≤20% vs. LVEF >20% was evaluated on Sustained VT/VF (23% higher cumulative incidence, p=0.004). Primary prevention ICD recipients with LVEF ≤20% had a 23% higher cumulative incidence of sustained VT/VF compared with those with LVEF >20% (P=0.004).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a025e1093868c48f30938a6https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacep.2026.02.028
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