Recent High Speed Rail (HSR) investments in Italy, together with the entrance in the HSR market of a new private operator competing with the national incumbent, create the conditions for a unique case study, to investigate the behaviour of long-distance passengers. In this paper a modelling framework developed to forecast the national passenger demand for different macroeconomic, transport supply, and HSR marketing scenarios is presented, focusing on the sub-models forecasting, induced demand.
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Cascetta et al. (2014) studied this question.