Cumulant-Based Stochastic Nonlinear Programming for Variance Constrained Voltage Stability Analysis of Power Systems

This paper proposes a Cumulant Method-based solution to solve a maximum loading problem incorporating a constraint on the maximum variance of the loading parameter. The proposed method takes advantage of some properties regarding saddle node bifurcations to create a linear mapping relationship between random bus loading variables and all other system variables. The proposed methodology is tested using a sample system based on the IEEE 30-bus system using random active and reactive bus loading. Monte Carlo simulations consisting of 10 000 samples are used as a reference solution for evaluation of the accuracy of the proposed method.