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May 16, 2026Journal of Systems and Software0 citationsOpen Access

Comparative Study of Statistical, Neural Network, and Foundation Models for Software Runtime...

Forecasting software runtime metrics: A comparative study of classical statistical, neural network, and foundation models

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Authors

FMFederico Di MennaLTLuca TrainiVCVittorio Cortellessa

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Overview

Comparative study evaluates time series forecasting performance in software metrics, suggesting foundation models as effective for quality assurance.

Key Points

  • This study aims to evaluate the performance of various time series forecasting models on software runtime metrics.
  • Conducted a comprehensive empirical evaluation using 110 real-world software runtime metrics over the course of one year.
  • Assessed three classical statistical models, three neural network models, and two foundation models.
  • Analyzed model performance in terms of capability to forecast software behavior and identify anomalies.
  • Foundation models achieved state-of-the-art performance in forecasting software runtime metrics, outperforming classical and neural network models.
  • Performance differences were statistically significant, indicating the effectiveness of foundation models in a zero-shot setting.
  • No universally superior model was found, emphasizing variability across different time series data.

Cite This Study

Menna et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0808ffa487c87a6a40b0b4https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2026.112937
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