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January 1, 1998Journal of Personality and Social Psychology1,124 citations

Immune neglect: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting.

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DGDaniel T. GilbertEPElizabeth C. PinelTWTimothy D. Wilson

Key Points

  • To examine whether unawareness of cognitive defense mechanisms (immune neglect) leads individuals to overestimate the duration of their negative emotional reactions to adverse life events.
  • Conducted 6 experimental studies assessing participants' predicted versus actual affective reactions across diverse negative life events.
  • Tested affective forecasts involving romantic breakups, tenure rejection, electoral defeat, negative personality feedback, narratives of a child's death, and job rejection.
  • Participants consistently overestimated the duration of their negative affect across all 6 adverse event scenarios.
  • Participants failed to differentiate between scenarios where psychological coping mechanisms would versus would not operate, predicting equally enduring distress in both conditions.

Abstract

People are generally unaware of the operation of the system of cognitive mechanisms that ameliorate their experience of negative affect (the psychological immune system), and thus they tend to overestimate the duration of their affective reactions to negative events. This tendency was demonstrated in 6 studies in which participants overestimated the duration of their affective reactions to the dissolution of a romantic relationship, the failure to achieve tenure, an electoral defeat, negative personality feedback, an account of a child's death, and rejection by a prospective employer. Participants failed to distinguish between situations in which their psychological immune systems would and would not be likely to operate and mistakenly predicted overly and equally enduring affective reactions in both instances. The present experiments suggest that people neglect the psychological immune system when making affective forecasts.

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Cite This Study

Gilbert et al. (1998) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a08c838b560631d46ba06ffhttps://doi.org/10.1037//0022-3514.75.3.617
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