Based on publication data (Web of Science, Thomson Reuters) of 280 applicants (medicine and biology, application years 2000–6) to the Emmy Noether Programme for young scientists provided by the German Research Foundation (DFG), this study investigates the relationship between publication performance in the periods preceding/subsequent to the funding decision and the funding decision itself. This is achieved by calculating a path model in which ‘subsequent publication performance’ serves as outcome variable, ‘past performance’ as an exogenous variable, and ‘funding decision’ as a mediator or treatment variable. The model is calculated for several bibliometric, productivity, and impact indicators.
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Jörg Neufeld (2015) studied this question.
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