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April 1, 2001Journal of the American Geriatrics Society166 citations

The Relationship Between Blood Pressure and Mortality in the Oldest Old

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SSShiva SatishDFDaniel FreemanLRL. Ray

Key Result

In men aged 85 and older, each 10-mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure was associated with a lower hazard of 6-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.92; 95% CI 0.86-0.99).

Key Points

  • To evaluate the relationship between systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels and six-year all-cause mortality risk in adults aged 65 to 84 compared to those aged 85 and older.
  • Conducted a population-based longitudinal study of 12,802 community-dwelling older adults across four United States sites (Massachusetts, Connecticut, Iowa, and North Carolina).
  • Collected baseline blood pressure, chronic conditions, demographics, and medication use to track 6-year mortality using actuarial survival and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.
  • In men aged 65–84, mortality was significantly lower with systolic blood pressure <130 mmHg compared to ≥180 mmHg (P < .0001; HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01–1.07 per 10-mmHg increase).
  • In men aged 85 and older, mortality was significantly lower with systolic blood pressure ≥180 mmHg compared to <130 mmHg (P < .0001; HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86–0.99 per 10-mmHg increase).
  • Higher diastolic blood pressure was inversely associated with mortality in men aged 65–84 (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.88–0.97) and men 85 and older (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.80–1.02), while systolic blood pressure was not associated with survival in women 85 and older.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=12,802)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does blood pressure level affect 6-year all-cause mortality in community-dwelling persons age 65 and older?

P
Population
12,802 community-dwelling persons age 65 and older (stratified into 65-84 years and 85+ years)
I
Intervention
Systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels
C
Comparator
Different blood pressure strata (e.g., <130 mmHg vs ≥180 mmHg)
O
Outcome
6-year all-cause mortalityhard clinical

Higher systolic blood pressure is paradoxically associated with better survival in men aged 85 and older, highlighting age-specific differences in the prognostic value of blood pressure.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 0.92 (95% CI 0.86-0.99)

p-value: p=<0.0001

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To explore the relationship between systolic and diastolic blood pressure and risk of 6‐year, all‐cause mortality in men and women age 65 to 84 versus those 85 and older. DESIGN: A population‐based longitudinal study. SETTING: This study was conducted at four different sites: East Boston, Massachusetts; New Haven, Connecticut; two rural counties in Iowa; and Piedmont, North Carolina. PARTICIPANTS: 12,802 community‐dwelling persons age 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline measurements collected include demographics, self‐reported chronic medical conditions, blood pressure measurements, medications, health habits, and hospitalizations. RESULTS: Unadjusted actuarial survival analyses show that men age 65 to 84 years with systolic blood pressure <130 mmHg have significantly lower mortality compared with those with systolic blood pressure ≥180 mmHg ( P < .0001). In contrast, men 85 and older with systolic blood pressure ≥180 mmHg have significantly lower mortality compared with those with systolic blood pressure <130 mmHg ( P < .0001). In Cox proportional hazards analyses controlling for other predictors of survival, the hazard of death associated with each 10‐mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure is positively associated among men age 65 to 84 years and negatively associated among men age 85 and older (Hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04 (1.01, 1.07) for younger men vs 0.92 (0.86, 0.99) for older men). Among women age 65 to 84, the hazard of death significantly increased with increase in systolic blood pressure ( P < .0001), while there was no relationship between level of systolic blood pressure and survival in women 85 and older. Both men 65 to 84 years old and those 85 and older showed a negative relationship between diastolic blood pressure and all‐cause mortality (Hazard ratio 0.93, 95% CI (0.88–0.97) for men age 65–84 years, and Hazard ratio 0.90, 95% CI 0.80–1.02 for men 85 and older). CONCLUSION: In men age 85 and older, higher systolic blood pressure is associated with better survival.

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Cite This Study

Satish et al. (2001) conducted a cohort in Blood pressure (n=12,802). Systolic blood pressure was evaluated on 6-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86-0.99, p=<0.0001). In men aged 85 and older, each 10-mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure was associated with a lower hazard of 6-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.92; 95% CI 0.86-0.99).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a09dacb4db7968590519856https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1532-5415.2001.49078.x
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