Predictors of smoking cessation and relapse in older adults.

We examined longitudinal changes in smoking behavior among older adults in three community cohorts of the Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly. Smoking prevalence declined from 15% at baseline to 9% during 6 years of follow-up. Annual smoking cessation and relapse rates were 10% and less than 1%, respectively. Interval diagnosis of myocardial infarction, stroke, or cancer increased subsequent smoking cessation but not relapse. Although smoking cessation around diagnosis is increased, primary prevention could yield greater benefits.