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To assess excess mortality from chronic disease in the United States, state age-adjusted combined mortality rates for nine chronic diseases in 1986 were compared with three "minimum" rates--two calculated from rates actually achieved in states and a third estimated as the mortality remaining after elimination of one risk factor for each disease. Hawaii had the lowest mortality rate of combined diseases (305/100,000); state excesses ranged from 0% to 37%. The sum of lowest disease-specific rates in any state was 284 per 100,000, indicating excesses of between 7% and 41%. A minimum mortality rate of 224 per 100,000 was estimated to result from elimination of one risk factor for each of the nine diseases, indicating state excesses from 26% to 54%, or 524,000 US deaths. Reduction of US mortality from the nine diseases to the risk factor--eliminated rate is estimated to be associated with an increased life expectancy at birth of 4 years.
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Robert A. Hahn
The Centers
JAMA
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services
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Robert A. Hahn (Wed,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a09e72e30285ee4a13421b0 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.1990.03450200062032