Cyclic-Genetic Methodology of Project Management of the Intermodal Hub System Under Uncertainty

In the article, the authors consider the problematic aspects of project management, the research is devoted to the issues of wave crises in projects based on the method of simulation. The article provides a theoretical and methodological analysis of the theory of cycles, crises and innovations, developed in the theories of the classics of both economics and project management, which contributed to the way out of crises on a global scale and economic recovery thanks to the developed tools and models of N. Kondratyev, A. Bogdanov. Tugan-Baranovskyi, as well as the cyclical-genetic theory of project management, which can become the basis for more reliable forecasting of consistently unbalanced dynamics in the economic and managerial environment. This approach, in contrast to the existing ones, makes it possible to take into account the achievement of goals to a greater extent in the following procedures for determining the content of the competitiveness of a business. It has been found that synergy in business development programs is manifested in cost savings and an increase in the final value of business projects. The developed concept model of crises on the basis of simulation modeling of the behavior of the system "goals – value – competitiveness – man – machine" in the process of implementing programs on infrastructure projects, and in the world economy. The paper gives a general description of crises on the example of infrastructure business companies. The analysis of the conceptual apparatus of business projects, business teams, business processes is given. The given problems of forming teams of business projects. The authors analyzed and identified the main sources of the formation of the business synergy effect associated with these costs. Formalized the formation of the synergy effect in the models and theory of business projects, arising from the joint implementation of port business projects, arising from the joint implementation of business projects within the framework of the program, makes it possible to more reliably assess the achievement of the goals of infrastructure business companies and the necessary resources in conditions of risks and uncertainty.