The Ten-year Risk Prediction for Cardiovascular Disease in the National Population (Globorisk) of Malaysian Adults

Globorisk is a novel risk prediction model that predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the national population of all world countries. Using Malaysia's risk factor levels and CVD event rates, we calculated the laboratory-based and office-based risk scores to predict the 10-year risk for fatal CVD and fatal plus non-fatal CVD for the Malaysian adult population. We analysed data from 8253 participants from the 2015 nationwide Malaysian National Health and Morbidity Survey (NHMS 2015). The average risk for the 10-year fatal and fatal plus non-fatal CVD was calculated, and participants were further grouped into four categories: Low Risk (<10% risk for CVD), High-Risk A (≥10%), High-Risk B (≥20%) and High-Risk C (≥30%). Results were reported for all participants and were then stratified by sex, race, region, and state. The average risks for laboratory-based fatal CVD, laboratory-based fatal plus non-fatal CVD and office-based fatal plus non-fatal CVD were 0.07 (SD = 0.10), 0.14 (SD = 0.12) and 0.11 (SD = 0.09), respectively. There were substantial differences in terms of the sex-, race- and state-specific Globorisk risk scores obtained.