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June 1, 1995The Journal of Finance694 citations

Performance Persistence

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SBStephen J. BrownSupélecWGWilliam N. GoetzmannNational Bureau of Economic Research

Key Points

  • The aim is to investigate the persistence of performance in mutual funds using various benchmarks.
  • Utilized a sample largely free of survivorship bias to evaluate performance trends.
  • Conducted probit analysis to assess the link between poor performance and fund disappearance.
  • Analyzed year-by-year performance patterns to examine correlation across fund managers.
  • Relative risk-adjusted performance persists, particularly among funds trailing the S&P 500.
  • Poor performance significantly increases the likelihood of fund disappearance.
  • Observed performance patterns vary with time period and reveal correlations across different managers.

Abstract

ABSTRACT We explore performance persistence in mutual funds using absolute and relative benchmarks. Our sample, largely free of survivorship bias, indicates that relative risk‐adjusted performance of mutual funds persists; however, persistence is mostly due to funds that lag the S&P 500. A probit analysis indicates that poor performance increases the probability of disappearance. A year‐by‐year decomposition of the persistence effect demonstrates that the relative performance pattern depends upon the time period observed, and it is correlated across managers. Consequently, it is due to a common strategy that is not captured by standard stylistic categories or risk adjustment procedures.

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Cite This Study

Brown et al. (1995) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0fe62dd8c5cf602efd50f8https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb04800.x
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