Alpha shock

Any believable prediction will be wrong. Any correct prediction will be unbelievable. Either way, a futurist can't win. He is either dismissed or wrong Most people, particularly most smart people will err on the side of not being fantastical enough. Because absolutely no one wants to be dismissed. What's the point of making a prediction if no one is listening? So 99% of future predictions will fall short of the necessary unreasonableness for a correct prediction.