Key result
Withholding anticoagulation in older AF patients is linked to ~207% higher stroke risk, MI, and death.
Why the study?
Anticoagulation reduces stroke risk in AF but is often underused in older populations due to bleeding concerns.
Does oral anticoagulation reduce stroke, myocardial infarction, and death compared to non-exposure in patients aged ≥75 years with atrial fibrillation?
Cohort (n=20,167)
Yes
Does oral anticoagulation reduce stroke, myocardial infarction, and death compared to non-exposure in patients aged ≥75 years with atrial fibrillation?
In older patients (≥75 years) with atrial fibrillation, discontinuing anticoagulation significantly increases the risk of stroke, myocardial infarction, and death.
May support anticoagulation continuation in older AF; leaves open randomized confirmation in this population.
BACKGROUND: Anticoagulation therapy reduces stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is often underused in older populations due to concerns about bleeding. This study aimed to compare the safety and effectiveness of anticoagulation during periods of exposure and non-exposure and across different anticoagulants in people with AF aged ≥75 years. METHODS: Using UK primary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (2013-2017), a retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients newly prescribed oral anticoagulants (warfarin or direct oral anticoagulants). Exposure to anticoagulation was mapped using prescription data. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted HRs for stroke, bleeding, myocardial infarction, and death during periods of exposure and non-exposure and for different anticoagulants. RESULTS: Among 20 167 patients (median age 81 years), non-exposure to anticoagulation was associated with higher risks of stroke (HR 3.07, 95% CI 2.39 to 3.93), myocardial infarction (HR 1.85, 95% CI 1.34 to 2.56) and death (HR 2.87, 95% CI 2.63 to 3.12) compared with exposure. Compared with warfarin, apixaban was associated with lower risks of non-major bleeding (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.85), whereas rivaroxaban was associated with higher risks of major (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.55) and non-major (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.44) bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: Non-exposure to anticoagulation increases the risks of stroke, myocardial infarction and death in older patients with AF. Clinicians should carefully weigh the risks of discontinuing anticoagulation and provide shared decision-making support to patients, especially when considering deprescription.
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Mitchell et al. (2025) conducted a cohort in atrial fibrillation (n=20,167). Oral anticoagulants (warfarin or direct oral anticoagulants) vs. Periods of non-exposure was evaluated on stroke (HR 3.07, 95% CI 2.39-3.93). Non-exposure to anticoagulation in older AF patients was associated with higher risks of stroke (HR 3.07; 95% CI 2.39-3.93), myocardial infarction, and death compared with exposure.
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