Inflation, Exchange Rate and Agricultural Export in Nigeria.

The study examined the Impact of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Agricultural Exports in Nigeria from 1986 to 2019. Annual data from 1986 to 2019 that is, 34 observations was used in this study. The Data was sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin, Food and Agriculture Organization Statistical Database (FAOSTAT), and World Development Indicator (WDI). The study employed both Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Pillips Perron (PP) unit root test, Granger causality test and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique in order to achieve the objectives of the study. The study revealed that there is a unidirectional causality running from Agricultural export value (AEV) to inflation rate (INF) and also from Exchange rate (EXR) to inflation rate (INF). The findings of the study show that Exchange rate with a coefficient of (1057.724) has a positive and significant relationship with Agricultural export value while inflation rate with a coefficient of (3661.635) had a positive significant impact on AEV. From the findings, the study recommended that in order to increase Agricultural export, the government should implement an appropriate policy mix in other to stabilise and improve the value of the Naira to boost Agricultural export value.