Risk Modeling, Assessment, And Management

Integrates the art and science of risk analysis. Clearly shows how to quantify risk and construct probability in conjunction with real-world decision-making problems, including a host of institutional, organizational, political, and cultural considerations. Presents basic concepts as well as advanced material, avoiding higher mathematics whenever possible. Incorporates numerous examples and case studies to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion. An accompanying web site will offer 200 example problems and case studies.