On the thermodynamics of the oceanic general circulation: Irreversible transition to a state with higher rate of entropy production

The mechanism of transitions among multiple steady states of thermohaline circulation is investigated from a thermodynamic viewpoint. An oceanic general‐circulation model is used to obtain the multiple steady states under the same set of wind forcing and mixed boundary conditions, and the rate of entropy production is calculated during time integration. Three states with northern sinking and four states with southern sinking are shown to exist in the model by perturbing the high‐latitude salinity. It is found that for transitions among southern sinkings the transition tends to occur from a state with a lower rate of entropy production to a state with a higher rate of entropy production, but the transition in the inverse direction does not occur. These transitions can thus be said to be irreversible or directional , in the direction of the increase of the rate of entropy production. For transitions between northern sinking and southern sinking, the rate of entropy production can either increase or decrease depending on the direction of the perturbation. The decrease is found to be associated with a collapse of the northern sinking circulation by a certain amount of negative salt (positive fresh water) perturbation to the northern hemisphere. After this collapse, a new southern sinking circulation develops, and the corresponding rate of entropy production increases. All these results tend to support the hypothesis that a nonlinear system is likely to move to a state with maximum entropy production by perturbation.