Left atrial size and risk of recurrent ischemic stroke in cardiogenic cerebral embolism

BACKGROUND: Left atrial enlargement (LAE) was reported to be associated with ischemic stroke and its recurrence. Limited data are available on the relationship of LAE and cardiogenic cerebral embolism (CCE). Our aim is to access the association of left atrial size and the recurrence of ischemic stroke in CCE. METHODS: We prospectively included 303 CCE patients who underwent transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). Left atrial size was estimated with left atrial diameter (LAD), diameter/height (LAD/H), and left atrial diameter/body surface area (LAD/BSA). The endpoint was one-year recurrent ischemic stroke. Cox proportional hazard models were performed to access the association between left atrial size and recurrent ischemic stroke. RESULTS: During follow-up, 27 patients suffered recurrent ischemic stroke. In multivariate COX regression models adjusted for confounders including age, gender, hypertension, diabetes, and history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), platelet count, fasting blood glucose (FBG), antithrombotic drugs at discharge, stroke volume, and cardiac output, LAD, LAD/H, and LAD/BSA all were independent risk factors of recurrent ischemic stroke [LAD: HR 1.065, 95% CI (1.006-1.128), p = .029; LAD/H: HR 1.157, 95% CI (1.066-1.255), p < .001; LAD/BSA: HR 1.128, 95% CI (1.059-1.202), p < .001]. Receiver-operator characteristic curves showed that LAD/BSA had better predicting effect. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.543 [95%CI (0.444-0.642), p = .461) for LAD, 0.626 [95%CI (0.530-0.723), p = .03] for LAD/H, and 0.655 [95%CI (0.558-0.752), p = .008] for LAD/BSA. CONCLUSION: LAE is an independent risk factor for one-year recurrence of ischemic stroke in patients with CCE.