The mC2HEST Score for Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Figures

• 

  Central Illustration. The mC2HEST Score for Incident Atrial Fibrillation

• 

  Figure 1. Flow Diagram for Participants Inclusion Procedure

• 

  Figure 2. Time-Dependent Receiver Operator Characteristic Curves for Predicting Incident Atrial Fibrillation The CHARGE-AF score showed the highest area under the curve among all models. The mC2HEST showed the highest area under the curve among simple models.

• 

  Figure 3. Time-Dependent Area Under the Curves for Predicting Incident Atrial Fibrillation With the increase of follow-up duration, the area under the curve increased for all models.

• 

  Figure 4. Calibrations of the Comprehensive and Simple Models The dotted line represents complete identical of predicted and observed probability.

• 

  Figure 5. Decision Curve Analysis for Comprehensive and Simple Risk Prediction Models Among comprehensive models, the CHARGE-AF score showed the best performance for clinical practice. Among simple models, the mC2HEST score showed the best performance.

• 

  Figure 6. Risk Plot of Representative Scores

• 

  Figure 7. Kaplan-Meier Curves for Non-Atrial Fibrillation Survival Rates According to the mC2HEST Score Individuals risk of incident AF increases with higher mC2HEST risk group. AF = atrial fibrillation.