Assesses carbon performance of sustainable aviation fuel pathways, suggesting better supply chain design for emissions reduction.
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is widely recognized as a critical pathway for aviation decarbonization; however, its life-cycle carbon performance is highly sensitive to supply chain configurations. This study proposes a data-driven framework integrating life-cycle assessment (LCA) with a generative adversarial network (GAN) to model and optimize SAF supply chain pathways under structural constraints. A rule-constrained synthetic dataset comprising feasible pathways is constructed, incorporating feedstock sources, refinery locations, airport demand nodes, conversion technologies, transport modes, and distances. Each pathway is encoded into a numerical feature vector, and a GAN model is trained to learn the distribution of feasible configurations. Generated pathways are further validated through LCA-based post-processing to ensure physical feasibility and emission consistency. The results show that pathway-level carbon intensity varies significantly across configurations, with differences exceeding 30% under varying feedstock–transport combinations. The model successfully captures the multimodal distribution of carbon emissions and identifies structurally consistent low-carbon pathways. In particular, localized supply structures and reduced transport distances are found to play a dominant role in minimizing emissions. This study provides a scalable methodological framework for SAF pathway modeling and offers insights into supply chain design and spatial configuration for achieving aviation carbon reduction targets.
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Wang et al. (2026) studied this question.
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