The production of scalar particles in a homogeneous isotropic spatially flat universe containing classical baryons and radiation is studied for regulated massless free-field theories without trace anomalies. The pair-production probability is evaluated to lowest nonvanishing order in the parameter ξ=lρbρᵣ3/4, where l is the Planck length, ρb is the baryon energy density, and ρᵣ is the radiation energy density, all in units where =c=1. For our universe ξ~10^-27. The back reaction regulates the production of scalar particles near the singularity so that the probability to produce a pair in the volume occupied by one baryon over the history of the universe is finite, of order of magnitude ξmbl, where mb is the mass of a typical baryon, and therefore very small.
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James B. Hartle (1981) studied this question.
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