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February 5, 2025BMC Public HealthOpen Access

The triglyceride-glucose index trajectories are associated with cardiovascular diseases in people living with HIV: evidence from a prospective cohort study in China, 2005–2022

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Why the study?

The prospective relationship between baseline and long-term trajectories of the triglyceride-glucose index and cardiovascular disease risk in people living with HIV remained unexplored.

Does a higher triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index or a high-increasing trajectory increase the risk of cardiovascular disease in people living with HIV?

Population

16,122 treatment-naive PLWH initiating ART in China

Comparison

TyG index trajectories and baseline levels

Design

Prospective cohort study

Follow-up

Median 70 months

Key result

Each 1-standard deviation increase in the baseline triglyceride-glucose index was associated with a 39% higher risk of cardiovascular disease (HR 1.39) in people living with HIV.

Authors

YLYinsong LuoLSLiqin SunYHYun He

Discussion

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Member takes

Overview

TyG index may aid CVD risk assessment in HIV; leaves open whether targeting it improves outcomes.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=16,122)

Multicenter

No

Structured PICO

Does a higher triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index or a high-increasing trajectory increase the risk of cardiovascular disease in people living with HIV?

P
Population
16,122 treatment-naive people living with HIV (PLWH) who initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) at a single center in China from 2005 to 2022, mean age 34.0 years, 90.6% male.
I
Intervention
Higher baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and high-increasing TyG index trajectories over time
C
Comparator
Lower baseline TyG index (lower quartiles) and low-stable TyG index trajectories
O
Outcome
Cardiovascular disease (CVD), defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease, stroke, peripheral arterial disease, heart failure, and transient ischemic attack, at a median follow-up of 70 monthscomposite

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 1.39 (95% CI 1.22, 1.59)

p-value: p=<0.001

Higher baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index levels and a high-increasing trajectory are significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease in people living with HIV, particularly in men.

Limitations

  • Single-center setting may limit the broader applicability of the results
  • Multiple imputations to address missing data could introduce bias
  • Possibility of residual confounding factors
  • Small proportion of females limited the ability to assess sex-specific CVD risk
  • Data sourced from hospital electronic medical records may not be entirely complete

Cite This Study

Luo et al. (2025) conducted a cohort in HIV (n=16,122). Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index vs. Lower TyG index levels was evaluated on Cardiovascular disease (CVD) (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.22, 1.59, p=<0.001). Each 1-standard deviation increase in the baseline triglyceride-glucose index was associated with a 39% higher risk of cardiovascular disease (HR 1.39) in people living with HIV.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a19c2a73f3ec013f0df06c0https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-21744-1
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