Frontline Science: Low regulatory T cells predict perioperative major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events after noncardiac surgery

Immune cells drive atherosclerotic lesion progression and plaque destabilization. Coronary heart disease patients undergoing noncardiac surgery are at risk for perioperative major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). It is unclear whether differential leukocyte subpopulations contribute to perioperative MACCE and thereby could aid identification of patients prone to perioperative cardiovascular events. First, we performed a hypothesis-generating post hoc analysis of the LeukoCAPE-1 study (n = 38). We analyzed preoperative counts of 6 leukocyte subpopulations in coronary heart disease patients for association with MACCE (composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction, myocardial ischemia, myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery, thromboembolic stroke) within 30 d after surgery. Regulatory T cells (Tregs) were the only leukocyte subgroup associated with MACCE. We found reduced Tregs in patients experiencing MACCE versus no-MACCE (0.02 [0.01; 0.03] vs. 0.04 [0.03; 0.05] Tregs nl−1, P = 0.002). Using Youden index, we derived the optimal threshold value for association with MACCE to be 0.027 Tregs nl−1. Subsequently, we recruited 233 coronary heart disease patients for the prospective, observational LeukoCAPE-2 study and independently validated this Treg cutoff for prediction of MACCE within 30 d after noncardiac surgery. After multivariate logistic regression, Tregs < 0.027 cells nl−1 remained an independent predictor for MACCE (OR = 2.54 [1.22; 5.23], P = 0.012). Tregs improved risk discrimination of the revised cardiac risk index based on ΔAUC (area under the curve; ΔAUC = 0.09, P = 0.02), NRI (0.26), and IDI (0.06). Preoperative Treg levels below 0.027 cells nl−1 predicted perioperative MACCE and can be measured to increase accuracy of established preoperative cardiac risk stratification in coronary heart disease patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.