Let X₁, …, XM, Y₁,…, YN be random variables, and set X = (X₁, …, XM) and Y = (Y₁, …, YN). Let φ be the regression or logistic or Poisson regression function of Y on X(N = 1) or the logarithm of the density function of Y or the conditional density function of Y on X. Consider the approximation φ^ to φ having a suitably defined form involving a specified sum of functions of at most d of the variables x₁, …, xM, y₁,…, yN and, subject to this form, selected to minimize the mean squared error of approximation or to maximize the expected log-likelihood or conditional log-likelihood, as appropriate, given the choice of φ. Let p be a suitably defined lower bound to the smoothness of the components of φ^. Consider a random sample of size n from the joint distribution of X and Y. Under suitable conditions, the least squares or maximum likelihood method is applied to a model involving nonadaptively selected sums of tensor products of polynomial splines to construct estimates of φ^ and its components having the L₂ rate of convergence n-p/(2p + d).
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Charles J. Stone (1994) studied this question.
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