The proposed Number Not Prevented (NNP) framework provides a systematic approach to quantify the clinical consequences of underuse and overuse of evidence-based interventions.
Highlights clinical impact of beta-blocker underuse post-MI; extends evidence-practice gap assessment with a systematic NNP framework.
BACKGROUND: Substantial gaps often exist between every day practice and best practice as defined by research evidence. We present a framework for defining, analyzing, and quantifying such proof-to-practice gaps. METHOD: An intervention's use can be plotted over time as ideal and actual uptake curves among candidates and noncandidates. Gaps of underuse are deviations from ideal uptake among candidates and can be quantified as underuse NNPs (Number Not Prevented): the number of disease events each year that would have been prevented, but were not, because of underuse among candidates of the intervention. Gaps of overuse are deviations from ideal uptake among non candidates and can be similarly quantified as overuse NNPs. RESULTS: Applying our method to the underuse of beta-blockers at hospital discharge postmyocardial infarction (MI) in the United States demonstrates an annual NNP of 2995 first-year post-MI deaths not prevented (sensitivity analysis range 455-20,409). Our NNP analysis framework highlights challenges to the determination of efficacy and efficiency, the definition of what constitutes proof, rapid recognition of proof when it does occur, the definition of eligible candidates, and the definition of the proportion of candidates treated. CONCLUSION: League tables of NNPs can help policy makers compare the clinical consequences of underuse and overuse of diverse interventions, while the NNP framework provides a systematic approach for describing and analyzing the components of proof-to-practice gaps. Such gap analyses can help organizations direct their resources to reducing gaps of greatest clinical consequence.
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Sim et al. (2003) studied this question.
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