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In an empirical study of fourteen widely used open source PHP Web applications, we found that the vulnerability density of the aggregate code base decreased from 8.88 vulnerabilities/KLOC to 3.30 from Summer 2006 to Summer 2008. Individual web applications varied widely, with vulnerability densities ranging from 0 to 121.4 at the beginning of the study. While the total number of security problems decreased, vulnerability density increased in eight of the fourteen applications over the analysis period. We developed a security resources indicator metric, which we found to be strongly correlated (rho = 0.67, p < 0.05) with change in vulnerability density over time. Traditional software metrics, such as code size, cyclomatic complexity, nesting complexity, and churn, had significant (p < 0.05) but much smaller correlations (rho = 0.31 at best) with vulnerability density. Vulnerability density was measured using the fortify source code analyzer static analysis tool.
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Wal et al. (2009) studied this question.
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